Doomsday Clock moves four seconds closer to midnight in latest Armageddon prediction

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Humanity is the closest it’s ever been to the end of the world – 85 seconds, to be exact.

Scientists pushed the hands of the Doomsday Clock, which predicts how close humanity is to extinction, by four seconds today.

If this metaphorical timepiece strikes midnight, it means humankind has failed to prevent Armageddon – think nuclear war or climate change.

The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists revealed how close we are to the stroke of doom at a 3pm announcement from Washington DC.

The bulletin’s CEO, Alexandra Bell, said that humanity has not done enough to prevent making the Earth uninhabitable.

‘Every second counts and we are running out of time. It’s a hard truth, but this is our reality,’ she added.

The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists members, from left, Jon B. Wolfsthal, Asha M. George and Steve Fetter reveal the Doomsday Clock, set to 85 seconds to midnight, during a news conference at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, Friday, Jan. 23, 2026, in Washington. (AP Photo/Pablo Martinez Monsivais)
Scientists said world leaders are ‘running out of time’ to act (Picture: AP)

Board member John Wolfsthal said that while deciding how far to move the clock is almost always tricky, they had ‘no such challenges this year’.

‘Overall, 2025 has been a pretty bleak picture in terms of advancing existential risks,’ Bell added.

The clock has been ticking ever closer to midnight in recent years, from 90 seconds to midnight for 2023 to 89 seconds to midnight last year.

This is a far cry from when the clock was farthest from midnight in 1991, after the US and the Soviet Union agreed to reduce their nuclear stockpiles.

In response, the bulletin shifted the hands to 17 minutes to midnight.

A lot, however, has changed in the 35 years since.

Why has the Doomsday Clock changed?

One of the main reasons for bringing the second hand forward is the fear that World War Three could break out.

The bulletin said that despite their calls, ‘aggressive’ countries have embraced nuclear weaponry and war.

Only last Saturday did Iran warn that an attack from Washington would lead to an ‘all-out war’ over the Islamic Republic’s protest crackdown.

Protests in Iran January 2026
Thousands of Iranians have been killed in the anti-protest crackdown (Picture: AFP)

How close have we come to the end of the world?

Year: Minute to midnight

2026: 1.25
2025: 1.29
2023: 1.5
2020: 1.67
2018: Two
2017: 2.5
2015: Three
2012: Five
2010: Six
2007: Five
2002: Seven
1998: Nine
1995: 14
1991: 17
1990: 10
1988: Six
1984: Three
1981: Four
1980: Seven
1974: Nine
1972: 12
1969: 10
1968: Seven
1963: 12
1960: Seven
1953: Two
1949: Three
1947: Seven

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Donald Trump, meanwhile, has been sparking fears that Nato – an alliance of Western nations – could be torn apart by his quest to seize Greenland.

The icy, rocky island home to only 55,000 people is a Danish territory, yet the White House says it wants to annexe it ‘whether they like it or not’.

Last year also saw the continuation of Israel’s war against Hamas in Gaza following the deaths of 1,100 Israelis on October 7, 2023.

Since the start of Israel’s counter-offensive, at least 71,000 Palestinians have been killed and some 171,000 injured, mostly women and children.

TOPSHOT - US President Donald Trump adjusts his jacket as he leaves the Congress Centre during the World Economic Forum (WEF) annual meeting in Davos on January 22, 2026. US President Donald Trump will show off his new "Board of Peace" at Davos on January 22, 2026 burnishing his claim to be a peacemaker a day after backing off his own threats against Greenland. Originally meant to oversee the rebuilding of Gaza after the war between Hamas and Israel, the board's charter does not limit its role to the Strip, and has sparked concerns that Trump wants it to rival the United Nations. (Photo by Fabrice COFFRINI / AFP via Getty Images)
Donald Trump’s second presidency has seen repeated fears of a third world war breaking out (Picture: AFP)
TOPSHOT - Family members and colleagues carry the body of one of the Palestinian journalists killed in an Israeli strike, during a funeral procession in Khan Yunis, in the southern Gaza Strip on January 22, 2026. An Israeli air strike killed an AFP freelancer and two other journalists in Gaza on January 21, the territory's civil defence agency said, while the military said it struck "suspects" operating a drone. Since October 10, a fragile US-sponsored ceasefire in Gaza has largely halted the fighting between Israeli forces and Hamas, but both sides have alleged frequent violations. (Photo by BASHAR TALEB / AFP via Getty Images)
Israel killed tens of thousands of Palestinians since the bloody October 7 attacks (Picture: AFP)
TOPSHOT - Firefighters work on a fire on a building after bombings on the eastern Ukraine town of Chuguiv on February 24, 2022, as Russian armed forces are trying to invade Ukraine from several directions, using rocket systems and helicopters to attack Ukrainian position in the south, the border guard service said. - Russia's ground forces today crossed into Ukraine from several directions, Ukraine's border guard service said, hours after President Vladimir Putin announced the launch of a major offensive. Russian tanks and other heavy equipment crossed the frontier in several northern regions, as well as from the Kremlin-annexed peninsula of Crimea in the south, the agency said. (Photo by Aris Messinis / AFP) (Photo by ARIS MESSINIS/AFP via Getty Images)
The Russia-Ukraine war is now in its fourth-year (Picture: AFP)

While a fragile ceasefire paused the Israel-Hamas conflict in October, Russia’s war against Ukraine shows no signs of ending anytime soon.

The bulletin has said time and time again that a single ‘rash decision’ or accident could make the years-long war a nuclear one.

New tech like unregulated AI tools ‘pose a threat to the survival of humanity’, bulletin board member Steve Fetter said.

Fetter expressed fears about how generative AI can churn out fake images and videos, something Trump has done multiple times now.

‘Using such videos can try to persuade people that things have happened that have not happened, that there are perhaps riots in a location or acts of war that are fake,’ he added.

A war that will unfold in space is becoming more and more likely.

Dr. Leonard Rieser, Chairman of the Board of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, moves the hand of the Doomsday Clock back to 17 minutes before midnight at offices near the University of Chicago on Nov. 26, 1991. (Carl Wagner/Chicago Tribune/Tribune News Service via Getty Images)
The symbolic instrument has been telling the public when the end of the world will happen since 1947 (Picture: TNS)

Humanity’s reliance on fossil fuels has continued to upend the world, the bulletin added.

Climate change worsened, among other things, last January’s deadly wildfires in California, the summer’s deadly heatwaves in Europe and the powerful hurricane that devastated Jamaica in October.

Biological threats, such as the coronavirus and bird flu, and the responses to them by officials, have also been cited by the bulletin as factors.

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